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Fade the Public

Month: December 2020

NFL Week 15 Matchups: Statistical Advantages & Betting Lines

Now that I’ve created a statistical ranking system, I want to use it to analyze weekly matchups and see if it’s able to be predictive. My numbers are not meant to translate into points. So “advantage” +/- does not translate into what the line should be. It’s a measure of how far above or below… Read More NFL Week 15 Matchups: Statistical Advantages & Betting Lines

December 16, 2020December 19, 2020 AustinLeave a comment

Week 14 NFL Statistical Rankings

I have made some tweaks to the system which I want to quickly go over: Doubled the importance of win %. I wanted the rankings to be as objective as possible, meaning the various statistical categories would not be weighted against one another subjectively and according to my own personal biases. But I did feel… Read More Week 14 NFL Statistical Rankings

December 16, 2020December 18, 2020 AustinLeave a comment

Giannis Signs 5yr/$228m Supermax Extension With Bucks

Just in: Shams has the contract details. And actually, if you look at the timestamps on both tweets, Shams broke the news before Giannis himself did: So he’s staying in Milwaukee after all. The contract has a player option after the 4th year. At that time Giannis will be 30 years old. So Milwaukee is… Read More Giannis Signs 5yr/$228m Supermax Extension With Bucks

December 15, 2020 AustinLeave a comment

Week 14 Power Rankings: Game of the Year Edition

The Monday Night Epic in Cleveland just concluded. The Ravens ended up winning 47-42 and improbably covering the -3 spread on a safety at the end after the Browns tried to pull off the ol’ Stanford-Cal miracle. I’m sure it swung a ton of money in Vegas. That’s the clubhouse leader for 2020 NFL Game… Read More Week 14 Power Rankings: Game of the Year Edition

December 15, 2020December 16, 2020 AustinLeave a comment

Are the Chiefs Unbeatable?

At 12-1 this season and 21-1 in their past 22 games including their Super Bowl run, it might be time to ask the question: are the Kansas City Chiefs unbeatable right now? People might not be impressed by the final score of their win over the Dolphins yesterday, 33-27, but keep in mind that the… Read More Are the Chiefs Unbeatable?

December 14, 2020 AustinLeave a comment

NFL Week 14 Instant Reactions

We’ve still got Browns-Ravens on Monday night so I’m going to wait til Tuesday to do the power rankings. 🌋 Chiefs Are the Warriors of the NFL The Chiefs looked atrocious in the first quarter. Mahomes had 2 picks and at one point got sacked for a -30 yard loss. The Dolphins got out to… Read More NFL Week 14 Instant Reactions

December 14, 2020December 14, 2020 AustinLeave a comment

College Football Needs an 8-Team Playoff

The Big Ten has nullified its requirement that you must play at least 6 regular season games in order to qualify for the Big Ten Championship Game. This was obviously done to accommodate Ohio State, who has only played 5 games after three of them were canceled due to Covid. Their game against Maryland was… Read More College Football Needs an 8-Team Playoff

December 10, 2020January 7, 2021 AustinLeave a comment

NFL Statistical Quarterback Rankings: Week 13

I applied the same concept from the team statistical rankings to Quarterbacks: taking their ranks in important statistical categories and averaging out the ranks to find a single overall average. Then we calculate the median, and then list how far above or below the median each quarterback is. The 10 stats I used: Passing TDs:… Read More NFL Statistical Quarterback Rankings: Week 13

December 9, 2020December 9, 2020 AustinLeave a comment

NFL Statistical Rankings: Week 13

I decided to expand the ranking system. It’s not because I didn’t like the original one, but because I wanted to include more important statistical categories. There are now 26 statistical categories that factor into the rankings, giving us what I believe to be a more complete assessment of teams. Here are the overall team… Read More NFL Statistical Rankings: Week 13

December 9, 2020December 16, 2020 AustinLeave a comment

Week 13 NFL Power Rankings

The Steelers have finally lost, so there’s a new team atop the power rankings. I was previously keeping the Steelers locked into, #1 even as they started looking shakier as the season went on, out of respect for the fact that they were undefeated. That is no longer true, so now all hell breaks loose… Read More Week 13 NFL Power Rankings

December 8, 2020 AustinLeave a comment

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