This is the strangest betting line I’ve seen for this week of college football, maybe all season: LSU, who just beat Alabama, is only a 3.5 point favorite over Arkansas, who just lost to Liberty. Liberty! The game is at Arkansas, so that explains some of it, but this is overall very disrespectful to LSU,… Read More Why is LSU Only -3.5 Over Arkansas?
I’m going to dig into the two biggest matchups of the weekend here and provide a final score prediction for each of them. We’ll start with Kentucky at Tennessee. (19) Kentucky at (3) Tennessee (UT -11.5, o/u 61.0) Reasons Kentucky could pull off the upset: Reasons Tennessee will avoid the upset: So that’s my case… Read More CFB Game Predictions: Tennessee vs. Kentucky, Ohio State vs. Penn State — Upsets Possible? PLUS: Power Ratings and Betting Picks
Last week was tough on the gambling picks. After going 13-8-1 in week 6, I was just 7-13 in week 7, bringing my overall record to 20-21-1. Not great: However, it was a crazy week in college football overall with all the underdogs: Just upset city. But no excuses. Gotta be better this week. Here… Read More CFB Week 8 Power Ratings & Betting Lines
This is on FanDuel Sportsbook as of April 18 at about 9pm: Now Fields is not an overwhelming favorite. Vegas still thinks there’s a good shot the 49ers take Mac Jones; they have him listed at +125, which is close to even money. For some perspective, FanDuel has Trevor Lawrence listed at -20,000 to go… Read More Vegas Now Expects 49ers to Take Justin Fields at #3
Now that sports gambling has been legalized in several states in the US, people are flocking to apps like Draft Kings and Fan Duel sportsbooks. Sports betting is exploding in the US more than ever before, as it is now accessible to anyone with a smartphone. Stocks like DKNG, PENN and the sports betting catch-all… Read More Where is the Break-Even Point in Sports Betting?
Now that I’ve created a statistical ranking system, I want to use it to analyze weekly matchups and see if it’s able to be predictive. My numbers are not meant to translate into points. So “advantage” +/- does not translate into what the line should be. It’s a measure of how far above or below… Read More NFL Week 15 Matchups: Statistical Advantages & Betting Lines
Fade the Public 